1 Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop
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Company makes third cut to renewables company outlook this year

Reduces both margin and volume outlook

Weaker diesel market hits biofuel rates

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By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto

HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel service for the third time this year due to falling prices and likewise reduced its anticipated sales volumes, sending out the business's share cost down 10%.

Neste said a drop in the cost of regular diesel had actually affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.

A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce eco-friendly diesel has actually produced a supply glut of biofuels, hammering revenue margins for refiners and threatening to restrain the nascent industry.

Neste in a statement slashed the anticipated typical equivalent sales margin of its renewables system to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.

The company now likewise expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had anticipated given that the start of the year, it added.

A part of the volume cut came from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now expected to sell in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen previously, Neste said.

"Renewable items' sales rates have been adversely affected by a substantial decrease in (the) diesel cost throughout the third quarter," Neste stated in a statement.

"At the same time, waste and residue feedstock prices have not decreased and sustainable item market cost premiums have stayed weak," the company added.

Industry executives and experts have said quickly expanding Chinese biodiesel producers are seeking brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have actually announced they are pausing growth plans in Europe.

While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable air travel fuel came as a surprise, the negative effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel price was to be anticipated, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski said.

Neste's share cost had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki